{"id":363,"date":"2013-01-13T05:02:02","date_gmt":"2013-01-13T05:02:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/?p=363"},"modified":"2013-01-13T05:44:13","modified_gmt":"2013-01-13T05:44:13","slug":"la-hausse-du-niveau-de-la-mer-est-exponentielle","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/2013\/01\/13\/la-hausse-du-niveau-de-la-mer-est-exponentielle\/","title":{"rendered":"La hausse du niveau de la mer est exponentielle!"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_364\" style=\"width: 310px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><a href=\"http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/sl_ns_global.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-364\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-364 \" title=\"2012_rel4: Global Mean Sea Level Time Series (seasonal signals removed)\" src=\"http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/sl_ns_global-300x209.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"209\" srcset=\"http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/sl_ns_global-300x209.png 300w, http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/sl_ns_global.png 533w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a>\u00a0<p id=\"caption-attachment-364\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Dernier chiffre 2012. Niveau de la mer. Source: http:\/\/sealevel.colorado.edu\/<\/p><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>EXPONENTIELLE.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Les nouvelles donn\u00e9es satellites confirment que la hausse du niveau de la mer n&#8217;est pas constante mais bien exponentielle, suivant la courbe de la hausse de la population et de la production de CO2. La hausse a atteint un nouveau record en 2012.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_365\" style=\"width: 310px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><a href=\"http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/sea-level-download1-2012.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-365\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-365\" title=\"Niveau de la mer satellite 2012\" src=\"http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/sea-level-download1-2012-300x267.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"267\" srcset=\"http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/sea-level-download1-2012-300x267.png 300w, http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/sea-level-download1-2012.png 670w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-365\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: http:\/\/www.epa.gov\/climatechange\/science\/indicators\/oceans\/sea-level.html<\/p><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>CONFIRMATION SATELLITE.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Les donn\u00e9es satellite des 20 derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es ont une pente sup\u00e9rieures \u00e0 celle des 130 derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/Charbon.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright size-medium wp-image-366\" title=\"Production de charbon\" src=\"http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/Charbon-300x258.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"258\" srcset=\"http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/Charbon-300x258.gif 300w, http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/Charbon.gif 405w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>CHARBON VS HAUSSE<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>La hausse de la production de charbon se retrouve sur le graphique de la hausse du niveau de la mer.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/20121.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright size-medium wp-image-376\" title=\"Hausse exponentielle du niveau de la mer versus charbon et p\u00e9trole. 2012\" src=\"http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/20121-300x181.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"181\" srcset=\"http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/20121-300x181.png 300w, http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/20121-1024x618.png 1024w, http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/20121.png 1244w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u00c8RE DU CHARBON ET DU P\u00c9TROLE VERSUS HAUSSE DU NIVEAU DE LA MER.<\/p>\n<p>La courbe de la hausse du niveau de la mer suit la hausse de la courbe de production du charbon puis du p\u00e9trole.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_368\" style=\"width: 310px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><a href=\"http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/CO2_Emissions_IPCC_1024.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-368\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-368\" title=\"\u00c9mission de CO2\" src=\"http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/CO2_Emissions_IPCC_1024-300x225.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"225\" srcset=\"http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/CO2_Emissions_IPCC_1024-300x225.jpg 300w, http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/CO2_Emissions_IPCC_1024.jpg 1024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-368\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Hausse exponentielle des \u00e9missions de CO2<\/p><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>HAUSSE EXPONENTIELLE DU CO2<\/p>\n<p>Mise \u00e0 part les ralentissements \u00e9conomiques (2008) qui viennent ralentir une hausse, qui autrement serait\u00a0hyper-exponentielle\u00a0 les \u00e9missions de CO2 sont belle et bien exponentielles, suivant la courbe du d\u00e9veloppement d\u00e9mographique et \u00e9conomique globale.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/2012-24.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright size-medium wp-image-380\" title=\"HAUSSE EXPONENTIELLE DU NIVEAU DE LA MER. 2012\" src=\"http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/2012-24-300x183.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"183\" srcset=\"http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/2012-24-300x183.png 300w, http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/2012-24-1024x625.png 1024w, http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/2012-24.png 1239w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a>DONN\u00c9ES SATELLITES VS HAUSSE EXPONENTIELLE<\/p>\n<p>Les donn\u00e9es satellites des 20 derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es indiquent une pente ascendante exponentielle qui correspond \u00e0 celle de la hausse des \u00e9missions de CO2.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/2012-31.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright size-medium wp-image-381\" title=\"HAUSSE EXPONENTIELLE DU NIVEAU DE LA MER. 2012\" src=\"http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/2012-31-300x182.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"182\" srcset=\"http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/2012-31-300x182.png 300w, http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/2012-31-1024x621.png 1024w, http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/2012-31.png 1237w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>CONFIRMATION D&#8217;UNE HAUSSE EXPONENTIELLE DU NIVEAU DE LA MER.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Peut importe la fa\u00e7on de pr\u00e9voir une hausse constante du niveau de la mer, conservatrice ou pessimiste, la hausse r\u00e9el, optimiste ou pessimiste, indique une hausse exponentielle \u00e0 court terme.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>PROSPECTIVE: HAUSSE HYPER-EXPONENTIELLE POSSIBLE.<\/p>\n<p>Si le pergelisol du grand Nord d\u00e9g\u00e8le et permet \u00e0 une somme consid\u00e9rable de m\u00e9thane de s&#8217;\u00e9chapper dans l&#8217;atmosph\u00e8re(1) la hausse du niveau de la mer serait, dans ce cas, hyperexponentielle.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>PIC P\u00c9TROLIER<\/p>\n<p>Le pic p\u00e9trolier aurait pu r\u00e9duire la hausse des temp\u00e9ratures si la consommation d&#8217;\u00e9nergie avait \u00e9t\u00e9 r\u00e9duite. Mais elle a \u00e9t\u00e9 plut\u00f4t\u00a0amplifi\u00e9\u00a0par la hausse de la production de charbon et de gaz.<\/p>\n<p>Et il reste \u00e0 d\u00e9termin\u00e9 si il y a vraiment pic p\u00e9trolier. Est-ce que les nouvelles nappes p\u00e9troli\u00e8res d\u00e9couvertes et exploit\u00e9e sont vraiment en baisse et est-ce que le pic p\u00e9trolier rapport\u00e9 par les p\u00e9troli\u00e8res, et report\u00e9 d&#8217;ann\u00e9es en ann\u00e9es, est r\u00e9el ou bien un pr\u00e9texte pour augmenter les prix et les&#8230; profits!<\/p>\n<p>Yves Marineau<\/p>\n<p>(1) Un puissant gaz \u00e0 effet de serre\u00a0plusieurs\u00a0fois plus puissant que le CO2.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; EXPONENTIELLE. Les nouvelles donn\u00e9es satellites confirment que la hausse du niveau de la mer n&#8217;est pas constante mais bien exponentielle, suivant la courbe de la hausse de la population et de la production de CO2. La hausse a atteint &hellip; <a href=\"http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/2013\/01\/13\/la-hausse-du-niveau-de-la-mer-est-exponentielle\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[90,65,85],"tags":[102,35,101],"class_list":["post-363","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-court-essai","category-editorial","category-questionreponse","tag-hausse-du-niveau-de-la-mer","tag-petrole","tag-rechauffement-climatique"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/363","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=363"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/363\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":373,"href":"http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/363\/revisions\/373"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=363"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=363"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/yvesmarineau.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=363"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}